MX23RW : Tuesday, December 31 00:02:50| >> :600:26290348:26290348:
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Asian Cup
Uzbekistan national football team
Asian Cup | Round of 16
Jan 30, 2024 at 11.30am UK
Al Janoub Stadium
Thailand national football team

Uzbekistan
2 - 1
Thailand

Turgunboev (37'), Fayzullayev (65')
Khusanov (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Sarachart (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Asian Cup clash between Uzbekistan and Thailand, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Uzbekistan

All competitions
Asian Cup
Last Game: Australia 1-1 Uzbekistan
Tuesday, January 23 at 11.30am in Asian Cup

Thailand

All competitions
Asian Cup
Last Game: Saudi Arabia 0-0 Thailand
Thursday, January 25 at 3pm in Asian Cup

We said: Uzbekistan 1-0 Thailand (extra time)

 Given how sharp they were defensively in the group stage, we believe Thailand will allow Uzbekistan to be the aggressors in this match, and while the War Elephants have been well-organised and shown they can handle the pressure, we expect the depth of the White Wolves to eventually break through. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uzbekistan win with a probability of 56.62%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Thailand had a probability of 20.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uzbekistan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.13%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a Thailand win it was 0-1 (6.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Uzbekistan would win this match.

Result
UzbekistanDrawThailand
56.62% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 23.12% (0.132 0.13) 20.25% (-0.122 -0.12)
Both teams to score 51.74% (-0.601 -0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.1% (-0.707 -0.71)47.9% (0.70800000000001 0.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.92% (-0.653 -0.65)70.08% (0.65599999999999 0.66)
Uzbekistan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.3% (-0.253 -0.25)16.7% (0.253 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.41% (-0.456 -0.46)46.59% (0.459 0.46)
Thailand Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.12% (-0.53 -0.53)37.88% (0.532 0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.34% (-0.518 -0.52)74.66% (0.52000000000001 0.52)
Score Analysis
    Uzbekistan 56.62%
    Thailand 20.25%
    Draw 23.12%
UzbekistanDrawThailand
1-0 @ 11.32% (0.24 0.24)
2-0 @ 10.13% (0.13 0.13)
2-1 @ 9.84% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.04% (0.023 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.87% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.85% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-0 @ 2.7% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.63% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.27% (-0.043 -0.04)
5-0 @ 0.97% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.94% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 56.62%
1-1 @ 10.99% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 6.33% (0.184 0.18)
2-2 @ 4.77% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.12%
0-1 @ 6.14% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
1-2 @ 5.34% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-2 @ 2.98% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 1.73% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.54% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-3 @ 0.96% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 20.25%

How you voted: 2nd Group B vs 2nd Group F

2nd Group B
73.2%
Draw
19.5%
2nd Group F
7.3%
41
rhs 2.0
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1Liverpool18143145172845
2Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest1911442619737
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4Chelsea19105438231535
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle1995532211132
6Manchester CityMan City199463226631
7Bournemouth198652923630
8Fulham197842825329
9Aston Villa198562831-329
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton196942928127
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1973941281324
12Brentford187383232024
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham196582335-1223
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd196492126-522
15Crystal Palace194872027-720
16Everton183871524-917
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1944113142-1116
18Ipswich TownIpswich1936101833-1515
19Leicester CityLeicester1935112242-2014
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