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Belarusian Premier League | Gameweek 20
Aug 30, 2024 at 6.45pm UK
Stadyen Central'ny

Gomel
2 - 1
Smorgon

Chagovets (9'), Junior Effaghe (45+1')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Dukso (14')
Likhtin (41'), Dukso (66'), Gaevoy (84')
Coverage of the Belarusian Premier League clash between Gomel and Smorgon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gomel 2-0 BATE
Sunday, August 18 at 5pm in Belarusian Premier League
Last Game: Smorgon 1-0 Naftan
Saturday, August 24 at 4pm in Belarusian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gomel win with a probability of 52.97%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Smorgon had a probability of 22.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gomel win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Smorgon win it was 0-1 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gomel would win this match.

Result
GomelDrawSmorgon
52.97% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04) 24.06% (0.016999999999999 0.02) 22.97% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Both teams to score 52.54% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.31% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)48.69% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.2% (-0.035 -0.04)70.8% (0.037000000000006 0.04)
Gomel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.67% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)18.33% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.57% (-0.052 -0.05)49.42% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Smorgon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.32% (0.0019999999999953 0)35.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.56% (0.0030000000000001 0)72.44% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Gomel 52.97%
    Smorgon 22.97%
    Draw 24.05%
GomelDrawSmorgon
1-0 @ 11.09% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 9.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.49% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.32% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.83% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.33% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.26% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.2% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 52.97%
1-1 @ 11.43% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.54% (0.011 0.01)
2-2 @ 5% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.05%
0-1 @ 6.74% (0.011 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.89% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 3.47% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.03% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 1.72% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.19% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 22.97%

Head to Head
Apr 19, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 5
Smorgon
2-2
Gomel
Lutsevich (23'), Leonovich (61')
Shubovich (82')
Yatskevich (33'), Junior Effaghe (63')
Nazarenko (35'), Matveichyk (53'), Grishchenko (89')
Oct 22, 2023 11am
Gameweek 25
Smorgon
0-3
Gomel

Kovalevich (51'), Aliu (90+2')
Junior Effaghe (54'), Aleksievich (56'), Kozlovskiy (88')
Adeola (41'), Aleksievich (63')
May 26, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 10
Gomel
2-0
Smorgon
Junior Effaghe (48'), Shkurdyk (51')
Shevchenko (45+2'), Miroshnikau (77')

Nuradin (15'), Atrashkevich (35'), Usenya (37')
Usenya (62')
Nov 20, 2021 10am
Gameweek 29
Gomel
0-0
Smorgon
Yudenkov (59'), Chikida (90+3')
Leonovich (47'), Savostyanov (64')
Jun 26, 2021 2.45pm
Gameweek 14
Smorgon
1-2
Gomel
Bondarenko (22')
Aziz Dao (5'), Bondarenko (51'), Shtygel (60'), M'pomezok (90+4')
Vasyliev (54'), Vaskov (60')
Solovey (32'), Levitskiy (35')
rhs 2.0
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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Dinamo Minsk25195147103762
2Neman27193541192260
3Torpedo-BelAZTorpedo-BelAZ26157440202052
4Dinamo BrestDinamo Brest27136859342545
5Vitebsk27125102923641
6Gomel27101073526940
7BATE BorisovBATE27107103131037
8IslochIsloch2798103228435
9SlutskSlutsk27105122540-1535
10Arsenal Dzerzhinsk2796122836-833
11Slavia MozyrSlavia Mozyr27710102731-431
12FC MinskFC Minsk2769122839-1127
13Smorgon2669112844-1627
14Naftan27410132643-1722
15Dnepr Mogilev2729162352-2915
16Shakhtyor SoligorskSoligorsk2757151740-232


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