Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Brest win with a probability of 55.89%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Gorodeya had a probability of 21.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Brest win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.88%) and 0-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Gorodeya win it was 1-0 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Brest would win this match.