Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win with a probability of 59%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Naftan had a probability of 17.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.79%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Naftan win it was 0-1 (6.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtyor Soligorsk would win this match.