Smorgon

1 - 3

BATE

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 73.1%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Smorgon had a probability of 10.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.89%) and 0-3 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.8%), while for a Smorgon win it was 1-0 (3.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that BATE Borisov would win this match.