Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Minsk win with a probability of 39.8%. A win for Sputnik had a probability of 35.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Minsk win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.76%) and 0-2 (5.97%). The likeliest Sputnik win was 2-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Minsk would win this match.