Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Anderlecht win with a probability of 47.82%. A win for Genk had a probability of 27.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Anderlecht win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Genk win was 0-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Anderlecht in this match.