Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 40.49%. A win for Beerschot Wilrijk had a probability of 35.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.66%) and 0-2 (6.01%). The likeliest Beerschot Wilrijk win was 2-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.