Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 66.19%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Standard Liege had a probability of 15.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.17%) and 1-0 (7.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.23%), while for a Standard Liege win it was 1-2 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genk would win this match.