Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 82.58%. A draw had a probability of 11.3% and a win for Waasland-Beveren had a probability of 6.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.83%) and 4-0 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.27%), while for a Waasland-Beveren win it was 1-2 (1.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.