Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 42.96%. A win for Genk had a probability of 31.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Genk win was 0-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
