Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 66.09%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Leuven had a probability of 14.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 2-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.24%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.17%), while for a Leuven win it was 0-1 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Gent in this match.