Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 43.89%. A win for Kortrijk had a probability of 31.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.06%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Kortrijk win was 2-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.