Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leuven win with a probability of 39.24%. A win for KV Oostende had a probability of 36.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leuven win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.64%) and 0-2 (5.84%). The likeliest KV Oostende win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leuven would win this match.