Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 46.3%. A win for Mechelen had a probability of 28.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.31%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Mechelen win was 1-0 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.