Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 51.59%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Royal Excel Mouscron had a probability of 23.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.62%) and 0-2 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Royal Excel Mouscron win it was 1-0 (7.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Gent in this match.