MX23RW : Saturday, October 5 15:02:12| >> :300:86500:86500:
Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 4
Aug 16, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Joseph Marien (Bruxelles (Brussels))

Union SG
1 - 0
Charleroi

Fuseini (90+3' pen.)
Moris (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Kone (34'), Keita (46'), Camara (48'), Petris (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Belgian Pro League clash between Union SG and Charleroi, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Union SG 0-1 Slavia Prague
Tuesday, August 13 at 7.30pm in Champions League
Last Game: Charleroi 1-0 Gent
Sunday, August 11 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League

We said: Union SG 2-2 Charleroi

Union SG's start to this campaign has been far from smooth, but their attacking quality is still evident despite a shaky defence, and this could help them secure something from this match. Charleroi have been solid in recent weeks, but their record against the hosts casts doubt on their ability to win here, which is why we are predicting a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 53.7%. A win for Charleroi had a probability of 23.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest Charleroi win was 0-1 (6.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Union SG in this match.

Result
Union SGDrawCharleroi
53.7% (-3.619 -3.62) 23.1% (0.834 0.83) 23.2% (2.781 2.78)
Both teams to score 55.92% (1.156 1.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.66% (-0.337 -0.34)44.33% (0.336 0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.29% (-0.329 -0.33)66.7% (0.327 0.33)
Union SG Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.54% (-1.35 -1.35)16.45% (1.348 1.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.85% (-2.49 -2.49)46.15% (2.488 2.49)
Charleroi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.94% (2.425 2.43)33.05% (-2.428 -2.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.35% (2.598 2.6)69.65% (-2.6 -2.6)
Score Analysis
    Union SG 53.7%
    Charleroi 23.2%
    Draw 23.09%
Union SGDrawCharleroi
1-0 @ 9.82% (-0.315 -0.32)
2-1 @ 9.8% (-0.116 -0.12)
2-0 @ 8.86% (-0.717 -0.72)
3-1 @ 5.9% (-0.352 -0.35)
3-0 @ 5.33% (-0.704 -0.7)
3-2 @ 3.26% (0.026 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.66% (-0.293 -0.29)
4-0 @ 2.4% (-0.447 -0.45)
4-2 @ 1.47% (-0.057 -0.06)
5-1 @ 0.96% (-0.156 -0.16)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 53.7%
1-1 @ 10.86% (0.37 0.37)
0-0 @ 5.44% (0.079 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.43% (0.287 0.29)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.086 0.09)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.09%
0-1 @ 6.02% (0.467 0.47)
1-2 @ 6.01% (0.575 0.58)
0-2 @ 3.33% (0.455 0.46)
1-3 @ 2.22% (0.341 0.34)
2-3 @ 2% (0.227 0.23)
0-3 @ 1.23% (0.236 0.24)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 23.2%

How you voted: Union SG vs Charleroi

Union SG
43.5%
Draw
43.5%
Charleroi
13.0%
23
Head to Head
Dec 10, 2023 6.15pm
Gameweek 17
Charleroi
1-3
Union SG
Guiagon (90+2')
Bager (32'), Badji (59'), Andreou (62')
El Amine Amoura (15', 65'), Terho (50')
Machida (38'), Thierry Lazare (40')
Oct 1, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 9
Union SG
3-1
Charleroi
Sykes (17', 45+4'), Burgess (45')
Burgess (64')
Guiagon (28')
Marcq (55'), Ilaimaharitra (86')
Jan 28, 2023 7.45pm
Jul 29, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Union SG
1-0
Charleroi
Sykes (56')
Nieuwkoop (20'), Thierry Lazare (45')
Feb 19, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Charleroi
0-3
Union SG

Gholizadeh (38'), Van Cleemput (67'), Issouf Bayo (73')
Burgess (4'), Thierry Lazare (38'), Millan (90+1')
Bager (26'), Pirard (44'), Undav (84'), Puertas (87')
Vanzeir (45+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Genk97112011922
2GentGent9513179816
3Westerlo104332018215
4Club BruggeBrugge94231511414
5CharleroiCharleroi9423129314
6Anderlecht9351108214
7Royal AntwerpAntwerp8413137613
8Union SGUnion SG9342107313
9Standard Liege933355012
10Dender93331315-212
11Leuven92521010011
12MechelenMechelen93241314-111
13Sint-Truiden92431217-510
14Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge92251117-68
15KortrijkKortrijk9225615-98
16Beerschot WilrijkBeerschot VA9027822-142


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