Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zulte Waregem win with a probability of 48.02%. A win for Royal Excel Mouscron had a probability of 27.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zulte Waregem win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Royal Excel Mouscron win was 0-1 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Zulte Waregem in this match.