Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 45.76%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for America Mineiro had a probability of 26.06%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.28%) and 1-2 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.94%), while for an America Mineiro win it was 1-0 (9.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Mineiro in this match.