Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 59.24%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Atletico Goianiense had a probability of 18.51%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.52%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for an Atletico Goianiense win it was 0-1 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.