Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 54.73%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Ceara had a probability of 19.49%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.42%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for a Ceara win it was 0-1 (7.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.