Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Avai and Fluminense.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Fortaleza 2-0 Avai
Sunday, October 9 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, October 9 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
28
Last Game: Fluminense 0-2 America Mineiro
Sunday, October 9 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, October 9 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
48
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 43.17%. A win for Avai had a probability of 31.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.02%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Avai win was 1-0 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Avai | Draw | Fluminense |
31.73% ( -0.2) | 25.1% ( -0.11) | 43.17% ( 0.3) |
| Both teams to score 56.19% ( 0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.83% ( 0.41) | 47.16% ( -0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.6% ( 0.37) | 69.4% ( -0.38) |
| Avai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.89% ( 0.07) | 28.11% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.21% ( 0.09) | 63.78% ( -0.1) |
| Fluminense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.16% ( 0.31) | 21.83% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.94% ( 0.48) | 55.05% ( -0.48) |
| Score Analysis |
Avai 31.73%
Fluminense 43.17%
Draw 25.1%
| Avai | Draw | Fluminense |
| 1-0 @ 7.79% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 7.52% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 4.94% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 3.18% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.42% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.09% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.77% Total : 31.73% | 1-1 @ 11.85% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.14% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.1% | 0-1 @ 9.34% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 9.02% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 7.11% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.58% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 3.61% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.74% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 1.37% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.41% Total : 43.17% |
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2019 12am
Form Guide
