Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 44.6%. A win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Athletico Paranaense win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.