We said: Criciuma 1-1 Cuiaba
Both sides will view this match as an opportunity to put three points on the board, and it would not be a surprise to see a home or indeed an away win here. The two teams are relatively well-matched, though, and we are expecting the points to be shared in a low-scoring draw.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Criciuma win with a probability of 36.33%. A win for Cuiaba had a probability of 35.56% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Criciuma win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.76%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Cuiaba win was 0-1 (11.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.