Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 53.36%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Internacional had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Internacional win it was 0-1 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.