Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 44.38%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 27.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.89%) and 2-1 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.04%), while for a Coritiba win it was 0-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.