Brasileiro | Gameweek 37
Nov 9, 2022 at 11.30pm UK
Castelao
Fortaleza6 - 0Bragantino
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Fortaleza and Bragantino.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Fortaleza 1-1 Atletico GO
Sunday, November 6 at 7pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, November 6 at 7pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bragantino 1-4 America Mineiro
Saturday, November 5 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, November 5 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 48.24%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Bragantino had a probability of 25.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.22%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Bragantino win it was 0-1 (8.45%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortaleza would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fortaleza | Draw | Bragantino |
48.24% ( -0.16) | 26.29% ( 0.14) | 25.47% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 48.45% ( -0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.65% ( -0.52) | 55.35% ( 0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.44% ( -0.43) | 76.56% ( 0.43) |
| Fortaleza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.02% ( -0.29) | 22.97% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.23% ( -0.43) | 56.76% ( 0.43) |
| Bragantino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.9% ( -0.27) | 37.1% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.11% ( -0.27) | 73.89% ( 0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
Fortaleza 48.23%
Bragantino 25.47%
Draw 26.29%
| Fortaleza | Draw | Bragantino |
| 1-0 @ 12.53% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 9.22% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 4.52% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.48% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.66% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.81% Total : 48.23% | 1-1 @ 12.43% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 8.52% ( 0.17)2-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.81% Total : 26.29% | 0-1 @ 8.45% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.19% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.39% ( -0)Other @ 1.75% Total : 25.47% |
Form Guide
