MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 04:03:32| >> :300:86500:86500:
Fortaleza
Brasileiro | Gameweek 17
Jul 18, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Governador Placido Aderaldo Castelo

Fortaleza
3 - 1
Vitoria

Lopes (25'), Pochettino (39'), Tinga (55')
Hercules (36'), Britez (45+6'), Martin Lucero (49'), Titi (63')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Hugo (90')
Luan (21'), Janderson (35'), Junior (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Brasileiro clash between Fortaleza and Vitoria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Flamengo 1-2 Fortaleza
Friday, July 12 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Vitoria 0-1 Botafogo
Friday, July 12 at 1.30am in Brasileiro

We said: Fortaleza 2-1 Vitoria

Despite Vitoria's vast improvement over the past weeks, Fortaleza are coming into this game enjoying a fantastic run of five wins from their last seven games and are yet to be defeated at home in the league, leading us to believe the hosts will win this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 64.26%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Vitoria had a probability of 14.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.76%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%), while for a Vitoria win it was 0-1 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fortaleza would win this match.

Result
FortalezaDrawVitoria
64.26% (-0.11199999999999 -0.11) 21.55% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 14.19% (0.104 0.1)
Both teams to score 44.63% (0.233 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.88% (0.174 0.17)51.12% (-0.177 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.02% (0.151 0.15)72.97% (-0.155 -0.16)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.75% (0.019999999999996 0.02)15.24% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.08% (0.042000000000002 0.04)43.92% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Vitoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.66% (0.26199999999999 0.26)47.34% (-0.264 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.26% (0.195 0.2)82.74% (-0.197 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Fortaleza 64.25%
    Vitoria 14.19%
    Draw 21.55%
FortalezaDrawVitoria
1-0 @ 13.57% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-0 @ 12.76% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.55% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 8.01% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.99% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.76% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.82% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.24% (0.023 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.42% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 1.06% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.05% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 64.25%
1-1 @ 10.15% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.22% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-2 @ 3.57% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 21.55%
0-1 @ 5.4% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-2 @ 3.8% (0.033 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.02% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 0.95% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 14.19%

How you voted: Fortaleza vs Vitoria

Fortaleza
92.0%
Draw
8.0%
Vitoria
0.0%
25
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo31197549262364
2PalmeirasPalmeiras32187753272661
3FortalezaFortaleza32179644321260
4FlamengoFlamengo31167850371355
5InternacionalInternacional311411642281453
6Sao Paulo31156104233951
7Bahia31137114237546
8Cruzeiro31128113633344
9Vasco da GamaVasco31127123643-743
10Atletico Mineiro30101194245-341
11Gremio32116153841-339
12Vitoria32115163746-938
13Corinthians32911123740-338
14Fluminense32107152834-637
15CriciumaCriciuma31910123844-637
16BragantinoBragantino32811133440-635
17Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR3197153339-634
18JuventudeJuventude32810143851-1334
19Cuiaba32610162541-1628
20Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3157192350-2722


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