MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 18:06:58| >> :300:86500:86500:
Fortaleza
Brasileiro | Gameweek 17
Jul 18, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Governador Placido Aderaldo Castelo

Fortaleza
3 - 1
Vitoria

Lopes (25'), Pochettino (39'), Tinga (55')
Hercules (36'), Britez (45+6'), Martin Lucero (49'), Titi (63')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Hugo (90')
Luan (21'), Janderson (35'), Junior (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Brasileiro clash between Fortaleza and Vitoria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Flamengo 1-2 Fortaleza
Friday, July 12 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Vitoria 0-1 Botafogo
Friday, July 12 at 1.30am in Brasileiro

We said: Fortaleza 2-1 Vitoria

Despite Vitoria's vast improvement over the past weeks, Fortaleza are coming into this game enjoying a fantastic run of five wins from their last seven games and are yet to be defeated at home in the league, leading us to believe the hosts will win this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 64.26%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Vitoria had a probability of 14.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.76%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%), while for a Vitoria win it was 0-1 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fortaleza would win this match.

Result
FortalezaDrawVitoria
64.26% (-0.11199999999999 -0.11) 21.55% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 14.19% (0.104 0.1)
Both teams to score 44.63% (0.233 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.88% (0.174 0.17)51.12% (-0.177 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.02% (0.151 0.15)72.97% (-0.155 -0.16)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.75% (0.019999999999996 0.02)15.24% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.08% (0.042000000000002 0.04)43.92% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Vitoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.66% (0.26199999999999 0.26)47.34% (-0.264 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.26% (0.195 0.2)82.74% (-0.197 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Fortaleza 64.25%
    Vitoria 14.19%
    Draw 21.55%
FortalezaDrawVitoria
1-0 @ 13.57% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-0 @ 12.76% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.55% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 8.01% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.99% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.76% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.82% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.24% (0.023 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.42% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 1.06% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.05% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 64.25%
1-1 @ 10.15% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.22% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-2 @ 3.57% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 21.55%
0-1 @ 5.4% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-2 @ 3.8% (0.033 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.02% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 0.95% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 14.19%

How you voted: Fortaleza vs Vitoria

Fortaleza
92.0%
Draw
8.0%
Vitoria
0.0%
25
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo34209552262669
2PalmeirasPalmeiras34207756282867
3FortalezaFortaleza33189647321563
4FlamengoFlamengo34188853381562
5InternacionalInternacional331611646281859
6Sao Paulo341771048351358
7Cruzeiro34138133937247
8Bahia34137144444046
9Corinthians341111124142-144
10Vasco da GamaVasco33127143649-1343
11Atletico Mineiro341013114247-543
12Vitoria34125173948-941
13Gremio34117164044-440
14Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR34117163741-440
15JuventudeJuventude34911144254-1238
16Fluminense33107162836-837
17CriciumaCriciuma34910153949-1037
18BragantinoBragantino34813133541-637
19Cuiaba34611172643-1729
20Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3468202452-2826


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