MX23RW : Tuesday, December 31 10:16:23| >> :300:86500:86500:
Gremio
Brasileiro | Gameweek 9
Jun 4, 2023 at 8pm UK
Arena do Gremio
Sao Paulo

Gremio
2 - 1
Sao Paulo

Cristaldo (31' pen.), Reinaldo (39')
Reinaldo (82'), Mila (88')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Calleri (15')
Franco (29')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Gremio and Sao Paulo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gremio

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Cruzeiro 0-1 Gremio
Thursday, June 1 at 12am in Copa do Brasil

Sao Paulo

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 1-3 Sport (5-3 pen.)
Thursday, June 1 at 11.30pm in Copa do Brasil

We said: Gremio 1-1 Sao Paulo

 We are only on matchday nine of the new Brasileiro Serie A campaign, and already these sides look like they will be in the thick of the title race. That being said, Sao Paulo have done well to fight their way back and stay in their away matches, and we believe they will do the same in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 37.6%. A win for Gremio had a probability of 34.12% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.87%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Gremio win was 1-0 (11.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
GremioDrawSao Paulo
34.12% (-0.073 -0.07) 28.28% (0.056999999999999 0.06) 37.6% (0.014999999999993 0.01)
Both teams to score 46.86% (-0.172 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.64% (-0.21 -0.21)59.36% (0.208 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.25% (-0.161 -0.16)79.75% (0.16 0.16)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.35% (-0.155 -0.16)32.65% (0.154 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.81% (-0.175 -0.18)69.19% (0.17399999999999 0.17)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.57% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)30.43% (0.095000000000002 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.37% (-0.113 -0.11)66.63% (0.113 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Gremio 34.12%
    Sao Paulo 37.59%
    Draw 28.28%
GremioDrawSao Paulo
1-0 @ 11.12% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 7.41% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.22% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 2.76% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.32% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.64% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 34.12%
1-1 @ 13.23% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 9.93% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.41% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 28.28%
0-1 @ 11.81% (0.06 0.06)
1-2 @ 7.87% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.03% (0.018 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.12% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.79%
2-3 @ 1.75% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.93% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 37.59%

Head to Head
Dec 2, 2021 11pm
gameweek 35
Gremio
3-0
Sao Paulo
Thiago (23'), Barbosa (68'), Robert (90+4')
Costa (74'), Grando (85'), Borja (90+3')

Rigoni (60'), Miranda (90+1')
Aug 15, 2021 1am
gameweek 16
Sao Paulo
2-1
Gremio

Reinaldo (18'), Alves (21'), Gomes (61')

Geromel (12'), Felipe Scolari (61')
Feb 14, 2021 11.30pm
gameweek 36
Gremio
1-2
Sao Paulo
Souza (33')
Doin (59'), Souza (90'), Alisson (90+2'), Pinares (90+8'), Ferreira (90+10')
Pinares (90+10')
Tche (63'), Luciano (68')
Carneiro (59'), Alves (75'), Vinicius (81'), Tche (90')
Dec 31, 2020 12.30am
Semi-Finals
Sao Paulo
0-0
Gremio
Dec 24, 2020 12.30am
Semi-Finals
Gremio
1-0
Sao Paulo

Thaciano (16'), Henrique (58'), Vanderlei (90+1')

Alves (8'), Alves (68'), Sara (90+1'), Reinaldo (90+5'), Bueno (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo382310559293079
2PalmeirasPalmeiras38227960332773
3FlamengoFlamengo382010861421970
4FortalezaFortaleza381911853391468
5InternacionalInternacional381811953361765
6Sao Paulo381781353431059
7Corinthians381511125445956
8Bahia38158154949053
9Cruzeiro381410144341252
10Vasco da GamaVasco38148164356-1350
11Vitoria38138174552-747
12Atletico Mineiro381114134754-747
13Fluminense381210163339-646
14Gremio38129174450-645
15JuventudeJuventude381112154859-1145
16BragantinoBragantino381014144448-444
17Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR38119184046-642
18CriciumaCriciuma38911184261-1938
19Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3879222958-2930
20Cuiaba38612202949-2030
> Brasileiro Full Table


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