MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 14:23:40| >> :300:86500:86500:
Gremio
Brasileiro | Gameweek 9
Jun 4, 2023 at 8pm UK
Arena do Gremio
Sao Paulo

Gremio
2 - 1
Sao Paulo

Cristaldo (31' pen.), Reinaldo (39')
Reinaldo (82'), Mila (88')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Calleri (15')
Franco (29')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Gremio and Sao Paulo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gremio

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Cruzeiro 0-1 Gremio
Thursday, June 1 at 12am in Copa do Brasil

Sao Paulo

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 1-3 Sport (5-3 pen.)
Thursday, June 1 at 11.30pm in Copa do Brasil

We said: Gremio 1-1 Sao Paulo

 We are only on matchday nine of the new Brasileiro Serie A campaign, and already these sides look like they will be in the thick of the title race. That being said, Sao Paulo have done well to fight their way back and stay in their away matches, and we believe they will do the same in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 37.6%. A win for Gremio had a probability of 34.12% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.87%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Gremio win was 1-0 (11.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
GremioDrawSao Paulo
34.12% (-0.073 -0.07) 28.28% (0.056999999999999 0.06) 37.6% (0.014999999999993 0.01)
Both teams to score 46.86% (-0.172 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.64% (-0.21 -0.21)59.36% (0.208 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.25% (-0.161 -0.16)79.75% (0.16 0.16)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.35% (-0.155 -0.16)32.65% (0.154 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.81% (-0.175 -0.18)69.19% (0.17399999999999 0.17)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.57% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)30.43% (0.095000000000002 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.37% (-0.113 -0.11)66.63% (0.113 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Gremio 34.12%
    Sao Paulo 37.59%
    Draw 28.28%
GremioDrawSao Paulo
1-0 @ 11.12% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 7.41% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.22% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 2.76% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.32% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.64% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 34.12%
1-1 @ 13.23% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 9.93% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.41% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 28.28%
0-1 @ 11.81% (0.06 0.06)
1-2 @ 7.87% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.03% (0.018 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.12% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.79%
2-3 @ 1.75% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.93% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 37.59%

Head to Head
Dec 2, 2021 11pm
gameweek 35
Gremio
3-0
Sao Paulo
Thiago (23'), Barbosa (68'), Robert (90+4')
Costa (74'), Grando (85'), Borja (90+3')

Rigoni (60'), Miranda (90+1')
Aug 15, 2021 1am
gameweek 16
Sao Paulo
2-1
Gremio

Reinaldo (18'), Alves (21'), Gomes (61')

Geromel (12'), Felipe Scolari (61')
Feb 14, 2021 11.30pm
gameweek 36
Gremio
1-2
Sao Paulo
Souza (33')
Doin (59'), Souza (90'), Alisson (90+2'), Pinares (90+8'), Ferreira (90+10')
Pinares (90+10')
Tche (63'), Luciano (68')
Carneiro (59'), Alves (75'), Vinicius (81'), Tche (90')
Dec 31, 2020 12.30am
Semi-Finals
Sao Paulo
0-0
Gremio
Dec 24, 2020 12.30am
Semi-Finals
Gremio
1-0
Sao Paulo

Thaciano (16'), Henrique (58'), Vanderlei (90+1')

Alves (8'), Alves (68'), Sara (90+1'), Reinaldo (90+5'), Bueno (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo34209552262669
2PalmeirasPalmeiras34207756282867
3FortalezaFortaleza33189647321563
4FlamengoFlamengo34188853381562
5InternacionalInternacional331611646281859
6Sao Paulo341771048351358
7Cruzeiro34138133937247
8Bahia34137144444046
9Corinthians341111124142-144
10Vasco da GamaVasco33127143649-1343
11Atletico Mineiro341013114247-543
12Vitoria34125173948-941
13Gremio34117164044-440
14Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR34117163741-440
15JuventudeJuventude34911144254-1238
16Fluminense33107162836-837
17CriciumaCriciuma34910153949-1037
18BragantinoBragantino34813133541-637
19Cuiaba34611172643-1729
20Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3468202452-2826
> Brasileiro Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!