Internacional can probably afford to take a few more chances in possession and push numbers forward against a Coritiba side who allow a lot through the middle and have struggled to maintain a solid defensive shape. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 63.22%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 15.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.01%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.21%), while for a Coritiba win it was 0-1 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Internacional would win this match.

Result
Internacional	Draw	Coritiba
63.22% ( -0.05)	21.51% ( 0.01)	15.27% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 47.26% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.03% (

0.02)

48.97% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.94% (

0.02)

71.06% (

-0.01)

Internacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.13% (

-0.01)

14.87% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.79% (

-0.02)

43.21% (

0.03)

Coritiba Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.52% (

0.07)

44.48% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.48% (

0.05)

80.52% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Internacional 63.21%

Coritiba 15.27%

Draw 21.51%

Internacional	Draw	Coritiba
1-0 @ 12.6% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 12.01% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.63% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.18% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.64% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.95% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.5% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.39% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 2.26% Total : 63.21%	1-1 @ 10.21% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.61% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.75% Total : 21.51%	0-1 @ 5.36% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.17% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.12% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 1.43% Total : 15.27%