Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 42.97%. A win for Juventude had a probability of 30.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (7.68%). The likeliest Juventude win was 1-0 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cruzeiro in this match.