Palmeiras

2 - 1

Ceara

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 59.61%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Ceara had a probability of 17.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.83%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Ceara win it was 0-1 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.