Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 68.69%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Goias had a probability of 11.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.06%) and 3-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.3%), while for a Goias win it was 0-1 (4.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.