MX23RW : Monday, December 23 00:36:03| >> :300:86500:86500:
Vasco da Gama
Brasileiro | Gameweek 31
Oct 29, 2024 at 12am UK
Estadio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
Bahia

Vasco
3 - 2
Bahia

Rodriguez (12'), Payet (18' pen., 32')
Galdames (40'), Maicon (53'), Payet (84')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Rodriguez (42'), Ademir (75')
Xavier (24'), Thaciano (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Brasileiro clash between Vasco da Gama and Bahia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vasco da Gama

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Vasco 1-0 Cuiaba
Thursday, October 24 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Bahia

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Cruzeiro 1-1 Bahia
Saturday, October 19 at 1.30am in Brasileiro

We said: Vasco da Gama 2-1 Bahia

 While Bahia have been the better side in this fixture over the last couple of years, their away record this season has been very poor, with only three wins earned in 15 outings to date. Vasco da Gama, on the other hand, have been impressive at home, notching up wins over the likes of Sao Paulo and Fortaleza this season, and we feel they will be able to pick up another three points in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 42.87%. A win for Bahia had a probability of 29.75% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Bahia win was 0-1 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vasco da Gama would win this match.

Result
Vasco da GamaDrawBahia
42.87% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02) 27.38%29.75% (0.02 0.02)
Both teams to score 48.17% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.9% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)57.1% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.02% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)77.97% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Vasco da Gama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.63% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)26.36% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.48% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)61.51% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.42% (0.018000000000001 0.02)34.58% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.7% (0.020000000000003 0.02)71.3% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Vasco da Gama 42.87%
    Bahia 29.75%
    Draw 27.37%
Vasco da GamaDrawBahia
1-0 @ 12.15%
2-1 @ 8.6% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 8.1% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 3.82% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 3.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.03%
4-1 @ 1.27% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.2% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 42.87%
1-1 @ 12.9%
0-0 @ 9.12% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 4.57% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.37%
0-1 @ 9.68% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-2 @ 6.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 5.14% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 2.43% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 1.82% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.62% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 29.75%

How you voted: Vasco vs Bahia

Vasco da Gama
69.2%
Draw
30.8%
Bahia
0.0%
13
Head to Head
Jun 27, 2024 1.30am
Gameweek 12
Bahia
2-1
Vasco
Thaciano (7'), Estupinan (86')
Henrique (20')
Adson (32'), David (38'), Carvalho (55'), Henrique (81')
David (59')
> Preview
Sep 3, 2023 10.30pm
Gameweek 22
Bahia
1-1
Vasco
Ademir (45')
Gilberto (20'), Hugo (88')
Vegetti (63' pen.)
Pele (41'), Medel (72'), Vitor (90+8')
Jair (90+4')
May 2, 2023 12am
Gameweek 3
Vasco
0-1
Bahia
Jan 31, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 33
Vasco
0-0
Bahia
Benitez (16')
Castan (80')
Danielzinho (17'), Gilberto (45'), Rossi (90+9')
Oct 7, 2020 11.15pm
Gameweek 14
Bahia
3-0
Vasco
Rossi (10'), Gilberto (32'), Clayson (45+1')
Gregore (45+2'), Rossi (56'), Ramon (76')

Henrique (20'), Gomes (44'), Pec (77')
Gomes (67')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo382310559293079
2PalmeirasPalmeiras38227960332773
3FlamengoFlamengo382010861421970
4FortalezaFortaleza381911853391468
5InternacionalInternacional381811953361765
6Sao Paulo381781353431059
7Corinthians381511125445956
8Bahia38158154949053
9Cruzeiro381410144341252
10Vasco da GamaVasco38148164356-1350
11Vitoria38138174552-747
12Atletico Mineiro381114134754-747
13Fluminense381210163339-646
14Gremio38129174450-645
15JuventudeJuventude381112154859-1145
16BragantinoBragantino381014144448-444
17Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR38119184046-642
18CriciumaCriciuma38911184261-1938
19Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3879222958-2930
20Cuiaba38612202949-2030
> Brasileiro Full Table


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