Vasco
1 - 2
Corinthians

Ribamar (73')
Castan (26')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Mantuan (23'), Henrique (90' og.)
Ederson (45+1'), Cantillo (59')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Vasco da Gama and Corinthians.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 37.9%. A win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.69%) and 0-2 (7.31%). The likeliest Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 (11.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.

Result
Vasco da Gama	Draw	Corinthians
33.02%	29.08%	37.9%

Both teams to score 44.44%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.75%

62.25%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.08%

81.92%

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.07%

34.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.33%

71.67%

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.3%

31.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.88%

68.12%

Score Analysis

Vasco da Gama 33.01%

Corinthians 37.9%

Draw 29.08%

Vasco da Gama	Draw	Corinthians
1-0 @ 11.64% 2-1 @ 7.04% 2-0 @ 6.13% 3-1 @ 2.47% 3-0 @ 2.15% 3-2 @ 1.42% Other @ 2.18% Total : 33.01%	1-1 @ 13.38% 0-0 @ 11.07% 2-2 @ 4.04% Other @ 0.59% Total : 29.08%	0-1 @ 12.72% 1-2 @ 7.69% 0-2 @ 7.31% 1-3 @ 2.94% 0-3 @ 2.8% 2-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 2.9% Total : 37.9%