Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 43.12%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 27.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.84%) and 1-2 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.2%), while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 1-0 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Palmeiras in this match.