Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria win with a probability of 44.37%. A win for Juventude had a probability of 30.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Juventude win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vitoria in this match.