Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 39.11%. A win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 36.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Augsburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.3%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest Arminia Bielefeld win was 2-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Augsburg would win this match.
