Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 63.04%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 16.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.94%) and 0-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%), while for an Arminia Bielefeld win it was 2-1 (4.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.