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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 73.11%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 10.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 3-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.45%), while for a Freiburg win it was 1-2 (3.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
Result | ||
Bayern Munich | Draw | Freiburg |
73.11% | 16.03% | 10.85% |
Both teams to score 53.16% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.46% | 34.55% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.52% | 56.49% |
Bayern Munich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.84% | 8.16% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71.4% | 28.61% |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.88% | 42.12% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.46% | 78.54% |
Score Analysis |
Bayern Munich | Draw | Freiburg |
2-0 @ 10.79% 2-1 @ 9.33% 3-0 @ 9.02% 1-0 @ 8.61% 3-1 @ 7.8% 4-0 @ 5.65% 4-1 @ 4.89% 3-2 @ 3.37% 5-0 @ 2.83% 5-1 @ 2.45% 4-2 @ 2.11% 6-0 @ 1.18% 5-2 @ 1.06% 6-1 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.99% Total : 73.11% | 1-1 @ 7.45% 2-2 @ 4.04% 0-0 @ 3.44% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.14% Total : 16.03% | 1-2 @ 3.22% 0-1 @ 2.97% 0-2 @ 1.28% 2-3 @ 1.16% 1-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.29% Total : 10.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 48 | 13 | 35 | 39 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 35 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 36 | 23 | 13 | 30 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 30 |
5 | Mainz 05Mainz | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 28 |
6 | Freiburg | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 27 |
7 | Stuttgart | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 26 |
8 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 25 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 25 |
10 | Wolfsburg | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 24 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 24 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 33 | -16 | 16 |
14 | St Pauli | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 14 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 14 |
16 | Heidenheim | 16 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 13 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 16 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 8 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 37 | -24 | 6 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |