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Bundesliga | Gameweek 21
Feb 5, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Leipzig logo

Bayern
3 - 2
RB Leipzig

Muller (12'), Lewandowski (44'), Gvardiol (58' og.)
Hernandez (22')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Silva (27'), Nkunku (53')
Laimer (45+1'), Nkunku (63'), Henrichs (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Bayern Munich 3-1 RB Leipzig

Despite the calibre of their opponent, and the form that they find themselves in under their new boss, we are expecting Bayern to triumph comfortably on Saturday. Bayern seem to rise to the occasion of big fixtures like this one and put in scintillating performances, and they will be eager to capitalise on the opportunity to put the pressure on Dortmund by extending their gap to nine points at the top of the table. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 59.86%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 21.08% and a draw had a probability of 19.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.24%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-2 (5.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawRB Leipzig
59.86%19.07%21.08%
Both teams to score 67.7%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.3%27.7%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.63%48.38%
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.74%9.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.72%31.29%
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.6%25.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.79%60.21%
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 59.86%
    RB Leipzig 21.08%
    Draw 19.07%
Bayern MunichDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 9.13%
3-1 @ 7.24%
2-0 @ 6.66%
1-0 @ 5.6%
3-0 @ 5.28%
3-2 @ 4.96%
4-1 @ 4.31%
4-0 @ 3.14%
4-2 @ 2.95%
5-1 @ 2.05%
5-0 @ 1.5%
5-2 @ 1.41%
4-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 4.29%
Total : 59.86%
1-1 @ 7.67%
2-2 @ 6.25%
0-0 @ 2.35%
3-3 @ 2.27%
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 19.07%
1-2 @ 5.26%
0-1 @ 3.22%
2-3 @ 2.86%
1-3 @ 2.4%
0-2 @ 2.21%
0-3 @ 1.01%
2-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 21.08%

How you voted: Bayern vs RB Leipzig

Bayern Munich
81.3%
Draw
12.1%
RB Leipzig
6.5%
107
Head to Head
Sep 11, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 4
RB Leipzig
1-4
Bayern
Laimer (58')
Lewandowski (12' pen.), Musiala (47'), Sane (54'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (90+2')
Apr 3, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 27
RB Leipzig
0-1
Bayern

Mukiele (26'), Sabitzer (37'), Upamecano (61')
Goretzka (38')
Kimmich (33'), Hernandez (81')
Dec 5, 2020 5.30pm
Gameweek 10
Bayern
3-3
RB Leipzig
Musiala (30'), Muller (34', 75')
Nkunku (19'), Kluivert (36'), Forsberg (48')
Mukiele (51')
Feb 9, 2020 5pm
Sep 14, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 4
RB Leipzig
1-1
Bayern
Forsberg (45' pen.)
Halstenberg (26'), Nkunku (78'), Laimer (80'), Sabitzer (92')
Lewandowski (3')
Lewandowski (26'), Boateng (57')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern119203672929
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1172227161123
3RB Leipzig11632189921
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen115512618820
5Borussia DortmundDortmund116142218419
6Freiburg115241315-217
7Stuttgart114432119216
8Union BerlinUnion Berlin1144399016
9Wolfsburg114342018215
10Werder Bremen114341722-515
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
12Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
13Hoffenheim113351722-512
14Augsburg113351323-1012
15Heidenheim113171520-510
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum110291032-222


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