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Bundesliga | Gameweek 16
Jan 16, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
Signal Iduna Park
Mainz logo

Dortmund
1 - 1
Mainz 05

Meunier (73')
Can (68')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Oztunali (57')
Mwene (40'), Hack (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 67.87%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 14.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.57%) and 1-0 (8.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.09%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 1-2 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawMainz 05
67.87%17.82%14.31%
Both teams to score 57.61%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.83%34.17%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.94%56.06%
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.78%9.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.79%31.21%
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.46%36.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.68%73.32%
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 67.87%
    Mainz 05 14.31%
    Draw 17.82%
Borussia DortmundDrawMainz 05
2-1 @ 9.64%
2-0 @ 9.57%
1-0 @ 8.03%
3-1 @ 7.66%
3-0 @ 7.61%
4-1 @ 4.56%
4-0 @ 4.53%
3-2 @ 3.86%
4-2 @ 2.3%
5-1 @ 2.18%
5-0 @ 2.16%
5-2 @ 1.1%
Other @ 4.68%
Total : 67.87%
1-1 @ 8.09%
2-2 @ 4.85%
0-0 @ 3.37%
3-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 17.82%
1-2 @ 4.07%
0-1 @ 3.39%
0-2 @ 1.71%
2-3 @ 1.63%
1-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 14.31%

How you voted: Dortmund vs Mainz 05

Borussia Dortmund
84.6%
Draw
7.7%
Mainz 05
7.7%
91
Head to Head
Jun 17, 2020 7.30pm
Dec 14, 2019 2.30pm
Apr 13, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 29
Dortmund
2-1
Mainz
Sancho (17', 24')
Quaison (83')
Mateta (42')
Nov 24, 2018 2.30pm
Gameweek 12
Mainz
1-2
Dortmund
Quaison (70')
Hack (26'), Kunde (30')
Alcacer (66'), Piszczek (76')
Delaney (34')
May 5, 2018 2.30pm
Dortmund
1-2
Mainz
Philipp (16')
Weigl (41'), Reus (54'), Sokratis (77')
Baku (4'), Muto (13')
Baku (30'), Muto (67'), Bell (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern129303782930
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1282231161526
3Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen126512819923
4RB Leipzig126331914521
5Borussia DortmundDortmund126242319420
6Freiburg126241616020
7Mainz 05Mainz125432014619
8Wolfsburg125342519618
9Stuttgart124532321217
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach125251817117
11Union BerlinUnion Berlin124441011-116
12Werder Bremen124441924-516
13Augsburg124351423-915
14Hoffenheim123361724-712
15St Pauli123271015-511
16Heidenheim123181524-910
17Holstein Kiel121291331-185
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1202101033-232


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