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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 67.87%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 14.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.57%) and 1-0 (8.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.09%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 1-2 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Mainz 05 |
67.87% | 17.82% | 14.31% |
Both teams to score 57.61% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.83% | 34.17% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.94% | 56.06% |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.78% | 9.22% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.79% | 31.21% |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.46% | 36.54% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.68% | 73.32% |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Mainz 05 |
2-1 @ 9.64% 2-0 @ 9.57% 1-0 @ 8.03% 3-1 @ 7.66% 3-0 @ 7.61% 4-1 @ 4.56% 4-0 @ 4.53% 3-2 @ 3.86% 4-2 @ 2.3% 5-1 @ 2.18% 5-0 @ 2.16% 5-2 @ 1.1% Other @ 4.68% Total : 67.87% | 1-1 @ 8.09% 2-2 @ 4.85% 0-0 @ 3.37% 3-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 0.21% Total : 17.82% | 1-2 @ 4.07% 0-1 @ 3.39% 0-2 @ 1.71% 2-3 @ 1.63% 1-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.14% Total : 14.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 33 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 87 | 23 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 33 | 23 | 3 | 7 | 92 | 41 | 51 | 72 |
3 | Stuttgart | 33 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 39 | 35 | 70 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 75 | 37 | 38 | 64 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 60 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 46 |
7 | Hoffenheim | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 62 | 64 | -2 | 43 |
8 | Freiburg | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 42 |
9 | Heidenheim | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Augsburg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 39 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 37 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 56 | 63 | -7 | 34 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 33 |
15 | Mainz 05Mainz | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 32 |
16 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 30 |
17 | FC Koln | 33 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 33 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 30 | 82 | -52 | 17 |
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