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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 62.81%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 18.62% and a draw had a probability of 18.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.49%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 2-1 (4.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Freiburg | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
18.62% | 18.58% | 62.81% |
Both teams to score 65.07% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.81% | 29.19% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
49.79% | 50.21% |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.52% | 28.48% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.75% | 64.25% |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.99% | 9.02% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.29% | 30.71% |
Score Analysis |
Freiburg | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
2-1 @ 4.87% 1-0 @ 3.23% 3-2 @ 2.46% 3-1 @ 2.04% 2-0 @ 2.03% Other @ 4% Total : 18.62% | 1-1 @ 7.76% 2-2 @ 5.86% 0-0 @ 2.57% 3-3 @ 1.97% Other @ 0.42% Total : 18.58% | 1-2 @ 9.34% 1-3 @ 7.49% 0-2 @ 7.44% 0-1 @ 6.18% 0-3 @ 5.96% 2-3 @ 4.7% 1-4 @ 4.51% 0-4 @ 3.59% 2-4 @ 2.83% 1-5 @ 2.17% 0-5 @ 1.73% 2-5 @ 1.36% 3-4 @ 1.19% Other @ 4.33% Total : 62.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 7 | 29 | 29 |
2 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 23 |
3 | RB Leipzig | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 21 |
4 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 20 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 19 |
6 | Freiburg | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 17 |
7 | Stuttgart | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 16 |
8 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 16 |
9 | Wolfsburg | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 15 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 15 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 14 |
12 | Mainz 05Mainz | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
13 | Hoffenheim | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 12 |
14 | Augsburg | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 12 |
15 | Heidenheim | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 10 |
16 | St Pauli | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 8 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 32 | -22 | 2 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |