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Bundesliga | Gameweek 8
Nov 22, 2020 at 2.30pm UK
Mage-Solar-Stadion
Mainz logo

Freiburg
1 - 3
Mainz 05

Petersen (63')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Mateta (2', 34', 40')
Niakhate (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga match between Freiburg and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 41.24%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 33.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 0-1 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
FreiburgDrawMainz 05
41.24%25.72%33.04%
Both teams to score 54.61%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.56%49.44%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.52%71.48%
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.25%23.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.1%57.9%
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.61%28.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.87%64.13%
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 41.24%
    Mainz 05 33.04%
    Draw 25.71%
FreiburgDrawMainz 05
1-0 @ 9.69%
2-1 @ 8.77%
2-0 @ 6.97%
3-1 @ 4.2%
3-0 @ 3.34%
3-2 @ 2.65%
4-1 @ 1.51%
4-0 @ 1.2%
4-2 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 41.24%
1-1 @ 12.2%
0-0 @ 6.74%
2-2 @ 5.52%
3-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.71%
0-1 @ 8.49%
1-2 @ 7.69%
0-2 @ 5.35%
1-3 @ 3.23%
2-3 @ 2.32%
0-3 @ 2.24%
1-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 33.04%

Head to Head
Jan 18, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 18
Mainz
1-2
Freiburg
Mateta (82')
Baku (26'), Hack (40'), Kunde (51'), Niakhate (82')
Chang-Hoon (28'), Petersen (41')
Haberer (37'), Abrashi (82')
Aug 17, 2019 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
Freiburg
3-0
Mainz
Holer (81'), Schmid (84'), Waldschmidt (87' pen.)
Lienhart (62')

St Juste (11'), Latza (30'), Fernandes (34')
Apr 5, 2019 7.30pm
Gameweek 28
Mainz
5-0
Freiburg
Boetius (20'), Mateta (25', 33', 77'), Onisiwo (73')
Kunde (41'), Latza (57'), Maxim (64')

Hofler (45')
Nov 10, 2018 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
Freiburg
1-3
Mainz
Sallai (72')
Hofler (67'), Gulde (77')
Gbamin (6'), Mateta (18'), Onisiwo (75')
Onisiwo (84')
Apr 16, 2018 7.30pm
Mainz
2-0
Freiburg
De Blasis (45' pen., 79')
Balogun (75')

Haberer (30'), Gulde (56')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern14103142123033
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1485132201229
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1483334201427
4RB Leipzig148332315827
5Freiburg147342019124
6Stuttgart146532924523
7Mainz 05Mainz146442519622
8Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
9Werder Bremen146442224-222
10Wolfsburg146353125621
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach146352319421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin144551315-217
13Augsburg144461627-1116
14Hoffenheim143561926-714
15St Pauli143291119-811
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1412111437-235
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243


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