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Bundesliga | Gameweek 27
May 24, 2020 at 2.30pm UK
Opel Arena
Leipzig logo

Mainz 05
0 - 5
RB Leipzig


Kunde (20'), Bruma (31'), St Juste (79')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Werner (11', 48', 75'), Poulsen (23'), Sabitzer (36')
Sabitzer (13'), Upamecano (17'), Werner (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and RB Leipzig, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 59%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 20.73% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.93%) and 0-1 (7.31%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 2-1 (5.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
Mainz 05DrawRB Leipzig
20.73%20.26%59%
Both teams to score 62.45%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.86%34.14%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.97%56.02%
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.5%29.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.48%65.51%
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.59%11.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.82%36.18%
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 20.73%
    RB Leipzig 59.01%
    Draw 20.26%
Mainz 05DrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 5.45%
1-0 @ 4.11%
2-0 @ 2.51%
3-2 @ 2.41%
3-1 @ 2.22%
3-0 @ 1.02%
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 20.73%
1-1 @ 8.92%
2-2 @ 5.91%
0-0 @ 3.37%
3-3 @ 1.74%
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 20.26%
1-2 @ 9.68%
0-2 @ 7.93%
0-1 @ 7.31%
1-3 @ 7.01%
0-3 @ 5.74%
2-3 @ 4.28%
1-4 @ 3.8%
0-4 @ 3.11%
2-4 @ 2.32%
1-5 @ 1.65%
0-5 @ 1.35%
2-5 @ 1.01%
3-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 59.01%

Head to Head
Nov 2, 2019 2.30pm
Gameweek 10
RB Leipzig
8-0
Mainz
Sabitzer (5'), Werner (30', 48', 87'), Nkunku (35'), Halstenberg (39'), Poulsen (44'), Mukiele (50')
May 3, 2019 7.30pm
Gameweek 32
Mainz
3-3
RB Leipzig
Onisiwo (43'), Niakhate (67'), Mateta (83')
Brosinski (55')
Klostermann (20', 32'), Werner (49')
Kampl (52')
Dec 16, 2018 2.30pm
Gameweek 15
RB Leipzig
4-1
Mainz
Poulsen (14', 19'), Werner (74', 88')
Upamecano (27'), Sabitzer (42'), Orban (51')
Onisiwo (38')
Latza (53'), Niakhate (54'), Zentner (66')
Apr 29, 2018 2.30pm
Mainz
3-0
RB Leipzig
De Blasis (29' pen.), Maxim (85'), Baku (90')
Bell (38'), Maxim (89')

Poulsen (30'), Orban (40'), Keita (89')
Keita (90')
Dec 9, 2017 2.30pm
RB Leipzig
2-2
Mainz
Kampl (29'), Werner (45' pen.)
Laimer (23'), Ilsanker (38')
Quaison (39'), Berggreen (86')
Diallo (44'), Berggreen (68'), Serdar (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202


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