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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 57.23%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 20.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a VfL Bochum win it was 0-1 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mainz 05 in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Mainz 05.
Result | ||
Mainz 05 | Draw | VfL Bochum |
57.23% | 22.62% | 20.15% |
Both teams to score 53.2% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.12% | 45.88% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.81% | 68.19% |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.21% | 15.79% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.07% | 44.93% |
VfL Bochum Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.17% | 36.83% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.38% | 73.62% |
Score Analysis |
Mainz 05 | Draw | VfL Bochum |
1-0 @ 10.73% 2-0 @ 9.91% 2-1 @ 9.9% 3-0 @ 6.1% 3-1 @ 6.09% 3-2 @ 3.04% 4-0 @ 2.81% 4-1 @ 2.81% 4-2 @ 1.4% 5-0 @ 1.04% 5-1 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.36% Total : 57.23% | 1-1 @ 10.72% 0-0 @ 5.81% 2-2 @ 4.94% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.62% | 0-1 @ 5.81% 1-2 @ 5.35% 0-2 @ 2.9% 1-3 @ 1.78% 2-3 @ 1.65% 0-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.7% Total : 20.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 7 | 29 | 29 |
2 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 23 |
3 | RB Leipzig | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 21 |
4 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 20 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 19 |
6 | Freiburg | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 17 |
7 | Stuttgart | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 16 |
8 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 16 |
9 | Wolfsburg | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 15 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 15 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 14 |
12 | Mainz 05Mainz | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
13 | Hoffenheim | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 12 |
14 | Augsburg | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 12 |
15 | Heidenheim | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 10 |
16 | St Pauli | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 8 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 32 | -22 | 2 |
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