Bundesliga | Gameweek 33
Jun 20, 2020 at 2.30pm UK
Opel Arena
Mainz 053 - 1Werder Bremen
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 42.14%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.89%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mainz 05 | Draw | Werder Bremen |
| 42.14% | 24.93% | 32.94% |
| Both teams to score 57.25% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.01% | 46% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.7% | 68.3% |
| Mainz 05 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.18% | 21.82% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.96% | 55.04% |
| Werder Bremen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.23% | 26.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.95% | 62.05% |
| Score Analysis |
Mainz 05 42.14%
Werder Bremen 32.94%
Draw 24.93%
| Mainz 05 | Draw | Werder Bremen |
| 2-1 @ 8.92% 1-0 @ 8.89% 2-0 @ 6.77% 3-1 @ 4.53% 3-0 @ 3.44% 3-2 @ 2.98% 4-1 @ 1.72% 4-0 @ 1.31% 4-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.45% Total : 42.14% | 1-1 @ 11.72% 2-2 @ 5.88% 0-0 @ 5.84% 3-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.93% | 1-2 @ 7.72% 0-1 @ 7.7% 0-2 @ 5.07% 1-3 @ 3.39% 2-3 @ 2.58% 0-3 @ 2.23% 1-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.12% Total : 32.94% |
Head to Head
Dec 17, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 16
Werder Bremen
0-5
Mainz
Mar 30, 2019 2.30pm
May 12, 2018 2.30pm
Dec 16, 2017 2.30pm
Form Guide
