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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
3 | Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | 33 | 64 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 35 | 58 |
5 | Union Berlin | 34 | 6 | 57 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
13 | VfL Bochum | 34 | -14 | 42 |
14 | Augsburg | 34 | -17 | 38 |
15 | Stuttgart | 34 | -18 | 33 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 74.11%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 9.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.51%) and 3-0 (10.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.88%), while for an Augsburg win it was 0-1 (3.4%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
Result | ||
RB Leipzig | Draw | Augsburg |
74.11% ( 0.32) | 16.59% ( -0.18) | 9.29% ( -0.14) |
Both teams to score 44.69% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.72% ( 0.43) | 42.28% ( -0.43) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.31% ( 0.43) | 64.69% ( -0.43) |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.14% ( 0.19) | 9.85% ( -0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.31% ( 0.44) | 32.69% ( -0.44) |
Augsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
49.57% ( -0) | 50.43% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.05% | 84.95% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
RB Leipzig | Draw | Augsburg |
2-0 @ 13.34% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 11.51% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 10.3% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 7.06% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 5.97% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 4.09% ( 0.06) 5-0 @ 2.77% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.42% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.9% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( 0.02) 6-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.15% Total : 74.1% | 1-1 @ 7.88% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.61% Total : 16.59% | 0-1 @ 3.4% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.03% Total : 9.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 48 | 13 | 35 | 39 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 35 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 36 | 23 | 13 | 30 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 30 |
5 | Mainz 05Mainz | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 28 |
6 | Freiburg | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 27 |
7 | Stuttgart | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 26 |
8 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 25 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 25 |
10 | Wolfsburg | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 24 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 24 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 33 | -16 | 16 |
14 | St Pauli | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 14 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 14 |
16 | Heidenheim | 16 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 13 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 16 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 8 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 37 | -24 | 6 |
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