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Bundesliga | Gameweek 11
Dec 12, 2020 at 5.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Försterei
Bayern logo

Union Berlin
1 - 1
Bayern

Promel (4')
Knoche (45'), Promel (72'), Becker (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Lewandowski (67')
Davies (30'), Gnabry (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 71.59%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 12.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.61%) and 1-3 (8.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.81%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 2-1 (3.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Union BerlinDrawBayern Munich
12.6%15.8%71.59%
Both teams to score 60.63%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.8%28.19%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.01%48.98%
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.16%34.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.42%71.57%
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.05%6.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.52%25.48%
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 12.6%
    Bayern Munich 71.59%
    Draw 15.8%
Union BerlinDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 3.59%
1-0 @ 2.55%
3-2 @ 1.68%
2-0 @ 1.35%
3-1 @ 1.26%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 12.6%
1-1 @ 6.81%
2-2 @ 4.79%
0-0 @ 2.42%
3-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 15.8%
1-2 @ 9.08%
0-2 @ 8.61%
1-3 @ 8.07%
0-3 @ 7.65%
0-1 @ 6.46%
1-4 @ 5.38%
0-4 @ 5.1%
2-3 @ 4.26%
1-5 @ 2.87%
2-4 @ 2.84%
0-5 @ 2.72%
2-5 @ 1.51%
1-6 @ 1.28%
0-6 @ 1.21%
3-4 @ 1%
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 71.59%

How you voted: Union Berlin vs Bayern

Union Berlin
10.6%
Draw
11.5%
Bayern Munich
77.9%
104
Head to Head
May 17, 2020 5pm
Oct 26, 2019 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern97203272523
2RB Leipzig86201431120
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt95222314917
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen94412015516
5Freiburg85031311215
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin943298115
7Stuttgart93421716113
8Borussia DortmundDortmund84131514113
9Werder Bremen83321416-212
10Augsburg93241320-711
11Heidenheim93151212010
12Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach83141113-210
13Wolfsburg92341617-19
14Mainz 05Mainz82331213-19
15St Pauli9225711-48
16Hoffenheim92251319-68
17Holstein Kiel91261123-125
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum9018929-201


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