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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
4 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 35 | 58 |
5 | Union Berlin | 34 | 6 | 57 |
6 | Freiburg | 34 | 12 | 55 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
12 | Wolfsburg | 34 | -11 | 42 |
13 | VfL Bochum | 34 | -14 | 42 |
14 | Augsburg | 34 | -17 | 38 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 56.06%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 20.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a VfL Bochum win it was 0-1 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.
Result | ||
Union Berlin | Draw | VfL Bochum |
56.06% ( 0) | 23.18% | 20.76% |
Both teams to score 52.34% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.52% ( 0) | 47.48% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.31% ( 0) | 69.69% |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.25% ( 0) | 16.75% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.32% ( 0) | 46.68% |
VfL Bochum Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.88% ( 0) | 37.12% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.09% | 73.91% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Union Berlin | Draw | VfL Bochum |
1-0 @ 11.11% 2-0 @ 9.93% 2-1 @ 9.84% 3-0 @ 5.91% 3-1 @ 5.86% 3-2 @ 2.9% 4-0 @ 2.64% 4-1 @ 2.62% 4-2 @ 1.3% 5-0 @ 0.94% 5-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.09% Total : 56.06% | 1-1 @ 11.01% 0-0 @ 6.22% 2-2 @ 4.87% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.18% | 0-1 @ 6.16% 1-2 @ 5.46% 0-2 @ 3.05% 1-3 @ 1.8% 2-3 @ 1.61% 0-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.67% Total : 20.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 89 | 24 | 65 | 90 |
2 | Stuttgart | 34 | 23 | 4 | 7 | 78 | 39 | 39 | 73 |
3 | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 23 | 3 | 8 | 94 | 45 | 49 | 72 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 77 | 39 | 38 | 65 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 63 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 47 |
7 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 46 |
8 | Heidenheim | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 42 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 42 |
10 | Freiburg | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 45 | 58 | -13 | 42 |
11 | Augsburg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 37 |
13 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 35 |
14 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 34 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 33 | 58 | -25 | 33 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 33 |
R | FC Koln | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 28 | 60 | -32 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 30 | 86 | -56 | 17 |
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